Coronavirus
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Yall ready for that second wave?
Amazing that with all of the distancing, canceling events and shutting things down we've only managed to get down to a more-or-less linear rate of spreading. Now that it's getting nice out and people are sick of staying home doing nothing it looks like we'll probably be returning to an exponential spread... not good. My freezer and pantry are stocked. Trying to decide how long to wait before I use my vacation to try to avoid being at work when it blows through the place.
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Bring on the second fucking wave. So sick of this shit. The cure is worse than the virus at this point, and the cure is some half assed 'we think this will help' bullshit.
Tear me apart for lack of compassion. Fine. All I see is over a 1/4 of the Wisconsin workforce out of work. That is not cool, not healthy, not for the better good.
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yeah, i saw and heard of many 'parties' this weekend. people say 'social distancing family gathering' but they have no masks, they are sharing food, passing drinks around, etc. i understand the desire, but i don't get why you'd risk getting your family sick.
Dan
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Bring on the second fucking wave. So sick of this shit. The cure is worse than the virus at this point, and the cure is some half assed 'we think this will help' bullshit.
Tear me apart for lack of compassion. Fine. All I see is over a 1/4 of the Wisconsin workforce out of work. That is not cool, not healthy, not for the better good.
The reason people are frustrated is because what we're doing is working. We're still on the first part of the curve where it's skinny and not increasing very fast. The virus isn't spreading out of control and we still have time to prepare.
Before the stay-at-home order, the number of cases was doubling about every 3 days. Based on the assumption that our current doubling rate is 16 days and our current number of new cases per day is 250, here's how things will look given the following doubling rates.
One of the fancy-pants engineers in the room should check my numbers here.
June 1st
doubling time new cases per day
16 days 841
8 days 2828
4 days 32000...and by Jun 15th
doubling time new cases per day
16 days 1542
8 days 9514
4 days 362,038...and July 1st
doubling time new cases per day
16 days 3084
8 days 38,055
4 days 5,792,619I would calculate the total number of cases, but that's calculus and I ain't trying to remember how to do that shit right now. Point is exponents will "F" your "S" up. We can't afford to go back to having the number of cases doubling every three days. Even 8 days is starting to look pretty gruesome by the time July rolls around. The point is to keep the curve flat enough so that our healthcare system can handle the surge. That won't be possible if people try to go back to living their normal lives. Currently, I am one of these A-holes causing the problem because I work in a building with 40 other people. So far I haven't figured out how to stop going to work, but still have access to food and shelter... This is a moral dilemma for me, since my job isn't really "essential", we make circuit boards... The best I can do is try to avoid it if possible, and do my best not to spread it if/when I get it.
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From the WI DHS google doc:
We've been in a holding pattern around 16-20 days for a while. Looks to spike up about once a week, I'm assuming that's from people who are working staying home on the weekends. Note that if the number of new cases every day was staying the same or going down this number would be infinite. We can't even keep it above 20. I don't know why anyone would be in a hurry to decrease this number.
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So.....people are getting frustrated because it's working? The numbers tell whatever story we want them too. So do the unemployment numbers, the bankruptcy numbers, the numbers of cars lined up at the food banks, suicide numbers, the numbers of farmers dumping product, numbers numbers numbers. What everyone is trying to do, is make anyone, like me, look like an asshole when we look at ALL the numbers instead of just the very very small numbers relating directly to Covid infections and deaths.
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So.....people are getting frustrated because it's working? The numbers tell whatever story we want them too. So do the unemployment numbers, the bankruptcy numbers, the numbers of cars lined up at the food banks, suicide numbers, the numbers of farmers dumping product, numbers numbers numbers. What everyone is trying to do, is make anyone, like me, look like an asshole when we look at ALL the numbers instead of just the very very small numbers relating directly to Covid infections and deaths.
I agree that our response to this hasn't been very well thought out or executed. The problem is that there is too much news and most of it isn't very useful. The news we need to know is what the rate of spread is in a particular area, and lock down areas where there is an outbreak happening. Unfortunately our government doesn't have the resources or the authority to execute a strategy like that.
I've been trying to find a map for wisconsin that shows infection rate or doubling time by county, but haven't come up with much yet. This is the best I could find.
Things are fine now, but if everyone goes back to normal it will be a shitstorm within a few weeks. The problem is that you need a targeted, fast response to local outbreaks. To my knowledge, our government doesn't have the ability, or maybe the willingness, to do that, so we're stuck with the half-assed stategy of "everyone stay home". It sucks, but the alternative is worse.
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Our work is planning to have 20-30% of the people back in the offices by June 1st. Which seems premature given that there is no evidence of anything getting better whatsoever. Thankfully, we were asked if we had any pressing need to be back in the office, which I absolutely do not. Both of my districts that I cover are close to a thousand miles from here so I really have no need to back at the office.
I don't know what the fixation is on people being in the office. I understand the implication is that there is more control of the employees when they are in the office or that people will be more focused on work. Hard to be focused when you're concerned the other people in the office are spreading shit. The fact of the matter is that most of us(at my job specifically), can do our work remotely. It just seems incredibly nearsighted.
Also, I don't want to drive to work.
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I think we need to let the shitstorm happen. The numbers say that there won't be a shitstorm, only that there could be one. And if there is, so be it. You CAN'T shut down the entire economy. food chains are broken, bad shit is happening far worse than even the worst predictions of the virus.
Turn the economy back on, let people go back to normal. I'm stand by that position.
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I think we need to let the shitstorm happen. The numbers say that there won't be a shitstorm, only that there could be one. And if there is, so be it. You CAN'T shut down the entire economy. food chains are broken, bad shit is happening far worse than even the worst predictions of the virus.
Turn the economy back on, let people go back to normal. I'm stand by that position.
you say worse things are happening than the worse predictions of the virus. they predict that the virus could kill 40 million people without measures like stay at home. please tell me what you think is worse than 40 million dead people, i'm very curious.
Dan
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Our work is planning to have 20-30% of the people back in the offices by June 1st. Which seems premature given that there is no evidence of anything getting better whatsoever. Thankfully, we were asked if we had any pressing need to be back in the office, which I absolutely do not. Both of my districts that I cover are close to a thousand miles from here so I really have no need to back at the office.
I don't know what the fixation is on people being in the office. I understand the implication is that there is more control of the employees when they are in the office or that people will be more focused on work. Hard to be focused when you're concerned the other people in the office are spreading shit. The fact of the matter is that most of us(at my job specifically), can do our work remotely. It just seems incredibly nearsighted.
Also, I don't want to drive to work.
I’m kind of hoping this situation helps shed some positive light on working from home. I understand there are a lot of roles that cannot WFH, but for those who can and are just as productive - why not?
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I’m kind of hoping this situation helps shed some positive light on working from home. I understand there are a lot of roles that cannot WFH, but for those who can and are just as productive - why not?
there are some positives, for sure. the reduction of traffic congestion is top for me. for many people, it can give 1 to 2 hours of your life back to do something else, everyday.
Dan
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I’m kind of hoping this situation helps shed some positive light on working from home. I understand there are a lot of roles that cannot WFH, but for those who can and are just as productive - why not?
I think will see a big paradigm shift after this clears. Hard to give people months of working from and doing their jobs as they were before and then suggest they need to be at the office everyday to do the same role.
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there are some positives, for sure. the reduction of traffic congestion is top for me. for many people, it can give 1 to 2 hours of your life back to do something else, everyday.
This is the big one for me. I lose about an hour and a half a day just being in the car. Thankfully I have a buddy I car pool with, but the time is still lost.
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there are some positives, for sure. the reduction of traffic congestion is top for me. for many people, it can give 1 to 2 hours of your life back to do something else, everyday.
WRONG!
That’s 1 to 2 more hours that you can work from home!
Everytime I ask my boss to choose what projects he wants prioritized because not all of them can possibly be done on time, he is supportive and helpful by telling me “well, if you need to work saturday or sunday, thats fine, otherwise there are more than 8 hours in a workday” (im typically working 6:45-4:45 everyday, sometimes til 5:30)
Eat shit, Pete.
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Eat shit, Pete.
Brian - This is your boss, Pete. In real life. I'll see you in my office first thing tomorrow morning to have a zoom meeting with HR in which we'll both be a safe distance from you at home as to not break company policy 19C-0V16. While you're chatting with these internet people you could be logging hours! Also, we need to discuss your choice of internet mimes. They seem inappropriate for a man in your position.
-Pete
Brian's Boss
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Brian - This is your boss, Pete. In real life. I'll see you in my office first thing tomorrow morning to have a zoom meeting with HR in which we'll both be a safe distance from you at home as to not break company policy 19C-0V16. While you're chatting with these internet people you could be logging hours! Also, we need to discuss your choice of internet mimes. They seem inappropriate for a man in your position.
-Pete
Brian's Boss
Yes sir. Sorry sir.
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