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Coronavirus

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  • straight6pwrS
    straight6pwrS
    straight6pwr
    wrote on last edited by
    #165

    wally509 said:

    One thing I've never understood from the beginning of this is if the disease is so infectious and deadly, why are there jillions of people dead in China?  Those people are packed in like sardines in the cities over there. 

    I fully realize their socialist/communist/whatever the hell they are now government is going to bury the truth about how many people croaked out but there are so many American and European corporate interests over there at this point, there's NO WAY they could hide the numbers that should be dead.  If nothing else they should be smelling the tens of millions of rotting corpses in Japan by now, right?

    China acted pretty fast, and the Wuhan/China lockdown was in place about 3 weeks after the disease was discovered. and has been said, with their government, REALLY locked down. New York City metro area, which is about the size of Wuhan, took the same amount of time to lock down after the first reported case. its obvious that not everyone listened or at lease adopted the ideas slowly. considering the spread of the virus is exponential (one sick person gets multiple more people sick), at least a week of delay, and likely under-reported China cases, I think the difference in cases between New York (240,000) and China (90,000) is not unusual. 

    you also seem to be ignoring the fact that measures are being done to stop the spread, and in our fast-communicating world, it has helped. people keep saying its not that bad and conveniently ignore that the measures (like social distancing) in place are why. read about the flu epidemic of 1918. it was equally as contagious, but actually less deadly (percentage of people who got the disease and survived was higher). we have history and experience with a pandemic like this. experts arent just making shit up, it's happened before. we dont have millions of people dead because of the measures that have been put in place. do you really need to see millions of people dead to start thinking "oh shit this is a problem".

    Dan
    yajsYRL.jpg.e5f350b4dfe961d76ac8b32efce2e1a6.jpg

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • KaiserRollsK
      KaiserRollsK
      KaiserRolls
      wrote on last edited by
      #166

      To trust anything being reported out of China is foolish

      1 Reply Last reply
      2
      • wally509W
        wally509W
        wally509
        wrote on last edited by
        #167

        gilber33 said:

        For the exact reason you said. It's a communist country. They lock everything down and tell people to stay inside and they do it. Disease can't spread if no one is outside to spread it. 

        Got your point, still don't understand given the population density in those cities how it couldn't spread like wildfire before they realized they needed to go on full lockdown.  And to reiterate, I don't believe their numbers, but it just seems it would have been so out of control by the time they went on lockdown, they wouldn't have been able to hide what was going on.

        "The more things change, the more they SUCK." -Butt-Head (Mike Judge)

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • KaiserRollsK
          KaiserRollsK
          KaiserRolls
          wrote on last edited by
          #168

          1AAB8BA9-556E-4242-A4FA-54E192CFD9D7.png

          and here we go. Safer in handcuffs

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • jc43089J
            jc43089J
            jc43089
            wrote on last edited by
            #169

            KaiserRolls said:

            1AAB8BA9-556E-4242-A4FA-54E192CFD9D7.png

            and here we go. Safer in handcuffs 

            I was at the rally on Friday at the Capital.  The police told the early arrivals to leave about a half hour before it started and they were just ignored.  They backed down and let it go on with no interference.  It would have been tough to ticket/arrest 2000+ people...

            It's hard to say your grounds for arresting someone when what you are saying is the constitution is suspended because someone defines it as emergency times.

            2/94 325i Sedan, Arctic Gray: UUC LTW FW, EVO 3 and DSSR, +.020 Maxsil pistons, ASC delete, Eibach shocks/springs, 16" contour reps 238k
            3/93 325i Coupe, Schwarz 2, Sketchy stance action, ebay turbo, 300k
            '89 325i Vert, Alpine White: 5spd swapped, sold.

            '04 Toyota Sienna: 24V to 24V swap in progress

            '05 Volvo V70R, 6spd.  200k
            '85 Toyota LandCruiser: Lifted, gas hog. 205k
            '99 Nissan Maxima: 5spd, Rusty but trusty winter beater. 252k RIP.

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • Bassboy3313B
              Bassboy3313B
              Bassboy3313
              wrote on last edited by
              #170

              jc43089 said:

              I was at the rally on Friday at the Capital.

              RIP

              CHECK OUT >>> RAGE DRIFT DESIGNS <<< FOR DECALS AND MORE!

              1 Reply Last reply
              2
              • damnboy037D
                damnboy037D
                damnboy037
                wrote on last edited by
                #171

                If this goes against everything this country was created for and she (the woman who opened her business) ends up infecting & killing someone, then she should get charged with murder.  You can’t have it both ways, while thinking you are not privileged.

                99 M3 320rwhp @ 6psi

                95 M3 s50b32

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • jc43089J
                  jc43089J
                  jc43089
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #172

                  damnboy037 said:

                  If this goes against everything this country was created for and she (the woman who opened her business) ends up infecting & killing someone, then she should get charged with murder.  You can’t have it both ways, while thinking you are not privileged. 

                  I think you are missing the part where nobody has to go to the store if they don't want to ...

                  Should WalMart be charged with murder if someone gets Covid19 there?  That is following the same logic as your statement.

                  If I was 80 years old I would probably stay home and ask a healthy friend to drop stuff off for me.  I'm 30 and healthy so I am not worried about it.  I am also not visiting anyone that might be at risk.

                  2/94 325i Sedan, Arctic Gray: UUC LTW FW, EVO 3 and DSSR, +.020 Maxsil pistons, ASC delete, Eibach shocks/springs, 16" contour reps 238k
                  3/93 325i Coupe, Schwarz 2, Sketchy stance action, ebay turbo, 300k
                  '89 325i Vert, Alpine White: 5spd swapped, sold.

                  '04 Toyota Sienna: 24V to 24V swap in progress

                  '05 Volvo V70R, 6spd.  200k
                  '85 Toyota LandCruiser: Lifted, gas hog. 205k
                  '99 Nissan Maxima: 5spd, Rusty but trusty winter beater. 252k RIP.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  1
                  • damnboy037D
                    damnboy037D
                    damnboy037
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #173

                    jc43089 said:

                    I think you are missing the part where nobody has to go to the store if they don't want to ...

                    Should WalMart be charged with murder if someone gets Covid19 there?  That is following the same logic as your statement.

                    If I was 80 years old I would probably stay home and ask a healthy friend to drop stuff off for me.  I'm 30 and healthy so I am not worried about it.  I am also not visiting anyone that might be at risk.

                    Not missing anything, I said if she ends up infecting and killing someone. Don’t assume my logic applies to to corporations the same way.  

                    You have to understand that this is a state law set by the government, dumber laws that are harmless have worse consequences.  People who whine about the economy and getting back to work are the real chumps.

                    99 M3 320rwhp @ 6psi

                    95 M3 s50b32

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • jc43089J
                      jc43089J
                      jc43089
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #174

                      damnboy037 said:

                      Not missing anything, I said if she ends up infecting and killing someone. Don’t assume my logic applies to to corporations the same way.  

                      You have to understand that this is a state law set by the government, dumber laws that are harmless have worse consequences.  People who whine about the economy and getting back to work are the real chumps. 

                      So a corporation has immunity and a small business does not?  

                      I am challenging they notion that it makes sense to have a massive building packed with people like Walmart or similar stores but yet a lady doing curbside drop off of a pet is dangerous and needs to be arrested?

                      What is really going on here is that if a governor tried to make all Walmart's in their state close they would be at the wrong end of a lawsuit within hours.  

                      You do realize that about 647,000 people in the USA died from heart disease last year?  That is  12,400 in a week.  Ref

                      So should we ban McDonald's?  Cigarettes?  Shut the country down?  Let's get started solving that problem!

                      Read here to find that the week of 4/11 had the worst death toll for Covid19 and it was 11,468.  Therefore the worst week of Covid19 was not even what the average week of people dying of heart disease, and last week was down to 1,078.  The media likes to use sensational numbers but that is baseless and unhelpful like a graph with no units.

                      2/94 325i Sedan, Arctic Gray: UUC LTW FW, EVO 3 and DSSR, +.020 Maxsil pistons, ASC delete, Eibach shocks/springs, 16" contour reps 238k
                      3/93 325i Coupe, Schwarz 2, Sketchy stance action, ebay turbo, 300k
                      '89 325i Vert, Alpine White: 5spd swapped, sold.

                      '04 Toyota Sienna: 24V to 24V swap in progress

                      '05 Volvo V70R, 6spd.  200k
                      '85 Toyota LandCruiser: Lifted, gas hog. 205k
                      '99 Nissan Maxima: 5spd, Rusty but trusty winter beater. 252k RIP.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • straight6pwrS
                        straight6pwrS
                        straight6pwr
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #175

                        jc43089 said:

                        Read here to find that the week of 4/11 had the worst death toll for Covid19 and it was 11,468.  Therefore the worst week of Covid19 was not even what the average week of people dying of heart disease, and last week was down to 1,078.  The media likes to use sensational numbers but that is baseless and unhelpful like a graph with no units.

                        lol, more trolling

                        pot-kettle-black.jpg?w=584

                        Dan
                        yajsYRL.jpg.e5f350b4dfe961d76ac8b32efce2e1a6.jpg

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • jc43089J
                          jc43089J
                          jc43089
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #176

                          straight6pwr said:

                          lol, more trolling

                          pot-kettle-black.jpg?w=584

                          Both links are right to the CDC website, It's not just CNN, FOX or other unreliable sources.  :)

                          2/94 325i Sedan, Arctic Gray: UUC LTW FW, EVO 3 and DSSR, +.020 Maxsil pistons, ASC delete, Eibach shocks/springs, 16" contour reps 238k
                          3/93 325i Coupe, Schwarz 2, Sketchy stance action, ebay turbo, 300k
                          '89 325i Vert, Alpine White: 5spd swapped, sold.

                          '04 Toyota Sienna: 24V to 24V swap in progress

                          '05 Volvo V70R, 6spd.  200k
                          '85 Toyota LandCruiser: Lifted, gas hog. 205k
                          '99 Nissan Maxima: 5spd, Rusty but trusty winter beater. 252k RIP.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          1
                          • KaiserRollsK
                            KaiserRollsK
                            KaiserRolls
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #177

                            damnboy037 said:

                            If this goes against everything this country was created for and she (the woman who opened her business) ends up infecting & killing someone, then she should get charged with murder.  You can’t have it both ways, while thinking you are not privileged. 

                            As of 4/29/20 @8:00am her curbside service for dog grooming is now “legally” able to operate. 

                            EDD6A3D9-8C16-46FE-A65A-E28F886B8F93.png

                            https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com/madison.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/6/f5/6f50c498-e573-5462-8dea-1558765fe852/5ea74540f1ce8.pdf.pdf

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • G
                              G
                              gilber33
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #178

                              jc43089 said:

                              You do realize that about 647,000 people in the USA died from heart disease last year?  That is  12,400 in a week.  Ref

                              So should we ban McDonald's?  Cigarettes?  Shut the country down?  Let's get started solving that problem!

                              Read here to find that the week of 4/11 had the worst death toll for Covid19 and it was 11,468.  Therefore the worst week of Covid19 was not even what the average week of people dying of heart disease, and last week was down to 1,078.  The media likes to use sensational numbers but that is baseless and unhelpful like a graph with no units.

                              That's a pretty subjective comparison, though.The worst weekly death toll for covid is with a stay at home order and businesses everywhere closed. Had that not been implemented, and the government said to carry on with all of your normal behaviors and don't change anything, I would ASSUME that number would significantly higher.

                              And there's too many variables in heart disease to use that as a broad comparison to this by saying we should ban mcdonalds, cigarettes, etc.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • patsbimmer1P
                                patsbimmer1P
                                patsbimmer1
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #179

                                jc43089 said:

                                Both links are right to the CDC website, It's not just CNN, FOX or other unreliable sources.  :)

                                Please tell me you know the difference between heart disease and COVID-19.  You know that high blood pressure, congenital heart disease, arrhythmia, heart attacks, etc. they're not contagious, right?  You know that many aren't 100% preventable and can typically be effectively managed through medication, healthy diet and genetic luck... right?  That deaths caused by these diseases is either due to neglect over years and years, a shortened lifespan in which that person was still able to live a long life after a diagnosis or genetic misfortune, right?  You know that the danger of COVID-19 is it's ability to spread rapidly throughout the world within a matter of months let alone how quickly it can take over a town, county, etc., right?

                                Here's a shitty map I made quickly based on the positive cases since the beginning of April by county illustrating where the positive case growth is.  Data provided by the Wisconsin DHS, not an unreliable source.  As you'll notice the greatest rate of growth this month has been outside of the large metro areas and moved into rural counties.  Based on this data I say we shut down the rural counties.

                                https://www.arcgis.com/home/webmap/viewer.html?panel=gallery&suggestField=true&url=https%3A%2F%2Fservices1.arcgis.com%2FISZ89Z51ft1G16OK%2FArcGIS%2Frest%2Fservices%2FCOVID19_WI%2FFeatureServer%2F1

                                2011 e90 M3 - DCT, Borla exhaust, BMW Performance Black Grille, ECS Painted Corners, Ziza Angel Eyes

                                07 335i Stella - sport package, BMS DCI, zhp knob, TMS cf parking brake lever, VRSF downpipes, MHD tune, H&R race springs, other stuff *SOLD*

                                97 328i Lola - sport package, m50 intake manifold, m50 manifold.com install kit, custom CAI, K&N filter, Borla exhaust, FK silverline coilovers, 25.5mm front sway bar, Powerflex front sway bushings, Turner Radiator, fan delete *sold*
                                95 325is *sold*
                                93 nissan 240sx KA-T *sold*

                                BMWCCA #473306

                                Instagram @patsbimmer1

                                AKA- HALLWAY PAT

                                "burnouts bring babes and babes dont have time for bushings" - Kaiser Rolls

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                1
                                • B
                                  B
                                  B C
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #180

                                  I honestly dont know where I stand on the whole thing. Like EVERYTHING there are two sides to it,  there is no one correct answer that works best for all, and I see things both ways. I think the plan set in place is a fair attempt to strike some sort of balance of safety and economic advancement.

                                  Im keeping an eye on Georgia's stats over the next couple weeks to see if things blow up over there. 

                                  While we are at it, just be cause someone disagrees with you doesn't mean they hate you. 

                                  I use "you" universally.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • SteelBlueS
                                    SteelBlueS
                                    SteelBlue
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #181

                                    B C said:

                                    I honestly dont know where I stand on the whole thing. Like EVERYTHING there are two sides to it,  there is no one correct answer that works best for all, and I see things both ways. I think the plan set in place is a fair attempt to strike some sort of balance of safety and economic advancement.

                                    Im keeping an eye on Georgia's stats over the next couple weeks to see if things blow up over there. 

                                    While we are at it, just be cause someone disagrees with you doesn't mean they hate you. 

                                    I use "you" universally. 

                                    No. Please pick one side or the other, communicate in your personalized online echo chamber, and whatever you do, do not listen to any differing opinion towards your own whatsoever.

                                    Thank you,

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    3
                                    • B
                                      B
                                      B C
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #182

                                      SteelBlue said:

                                      No. Please pick one side or the other, communicate in your personalized online echo chamber, and whatever you do, do not listen to any differing opinion towards your own whatsoever.

                                      Thank you,

                                      How dare you reject my opinion.

                                      I challenge you to fisticuffs!

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • jc43089J
                                        jc43089J
                                        jc43089
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #183

                                        patsbimmer1 said:

                                        Please tell me you know the difference between heart disease and COVID-19.  You know that high blood pressure, congenital heart disease, arrhythmia, heart attacks, etc. they're not contagious, right?  You know that many aren't 100% preventable and can typically be effectively managed through medication, healthy diet and genetic luck... right?  That deaths caused by these diseases is either due to neglect over years and years, a shortened lifespan in which that person was still able to live a long life after a diagnosis or genetic misfortune, right?  You know that the danger of COVID-19 is it's ability to spread rapidly throughout the world within a matter of months let alone how quickly it can take over a town, county, etc., right?

                                        Here's a shitty map I made quickly based on the positive cases since the beginning of April by county illustrating where the positive case growth is.  Data provided by the Wisconsin DHS, not an unreliable source.  As you'll notice the greatest rate of growth this month has been outside of the large metro areas and moved into rural counties.  Based on this data I say we shut down the rural counties.

                                        https://www.arcgis.com/home/webmap/viewer.html?panel=gallery&suggestField=true&url=https%3A%2F%2Fservices1.arcgis.com%2FISZ89Z51ft1G16OK%2FArcGIS%2Frest%2Fservices%2FCOVID19_WI%2FFeatureServer%2F1

                                        I'm quite aware that heart disease is different than a virus, I am not downplaying the seriousness.  It is unfortunate that anyone has died.  Just getting out of bed in the morning has risks.

                                        I would argue that the curve seems flattened if the deaths have dropped off (I do realize that that 1,078 number may increase due to late reporting).  Someone from a hard hit area comments here.  https://nypost.com/2020/04/27/ive-worked-the-coronavirus-front-line-and-i-say-its-time-to-start-opening-up/?fbclid=IwAR1U0QhtJHbhXyG_iYsQIy5Ff9B_yhqe970-YAH2SyOeHw30JcEira6vGnw  I'm not sure his source but said that 43% of people tested in the Bronx are positive.  A big missing data point is actual numbers about how many people have or have had Covid19. 

                                        My interpretation of the numbers from testing in Wisconsin is that the only people being tested are severe cases.  @patsbimmer1 from your map it appears Rock county has above average testing and it is still barely over 1% of the population.  And that is why death percentages using positive case numbers and death numbers is vastly misleading.  My mother in law clearly had it (father in law was tested positive and she was sick as well)  but she was not tested, just told to quarantine.  However if she had died she would have been tested and added to the death tally.

                                        How many people are dying from the quarantine itself?  How long do we continue just printing money to hand out?  Printing money only causes all of the money to be worth less.  It isn't all roses to keep "non-essential" businesses closed.  Many will be gone for good, and along with them people's future plans, 

                                        I think antibody testing is what needs to happen.  What if I had it and was asymptomatic?  The only way to catch it on a virus test is to test everyone in the state every week and that wouldn't catch past cases, and also is not logistically possible.  But an antibody test would determine all of who has already had it to evaluate when enough people have had it that herd immunity will be reached.

                                        I'm not hating anyone, just sharing my opinion on the internet  :) I'll still cruise BMW's with anyone whether you agree with me or not.

                                        2/94 325i Sedan, Arctic Gray: UUC LTW FW, EVO 3 and DSSR, +.020 Maxsil pistons, ASC delete, Eibach shocks/springs, 16" contour reps 238k
                                        3/93 325i Coupe, Schwarz 2, Sketchy stance action, ebay turbo, 300k
                                        '89 325i Vert, Alpine White: 5spd swapped, sold.

                                        '04 Toyota Sienna: 24V to 24V swap in progress

                                        '05 Volvo V70R, 6spd.  200k
                                        '85 Toyota LandCruiser: Lifted, gas hog. 205k
                                        '99 Nissan Maxima: 5spd, Rusty but trusty winter beater. 252k RIP.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        1
                                        • patsbimmer1P
                                          patsbimmer1P
                                          patsbimmer1
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #184

                                          @jc43089 the flaw with only looking at death rate is the death does not occur without the virus so if positive cases slow down then the death rate should also slow down pending a freak outbreak in a retirement community or something similar.  And again, the instance with your in-laws shows that rural communities are under reporting and could have a much higher rate of infection but we won't know for various reasons (lack of available care, lack of transportation, stubbornness, etc.).  Also, if she would have passed and actually been tested and tested positive it doesn't just go in one column.  It would be 1 positive case, 1 death.  Increased testing would be great but again, that testing drops off drastically in rural communities where access to testing would be limited or difficult to get.  An antibody test would be great but there are multiple forms of corona virus that create similar anti-bodies so this doesn't determine if someone has had it and doesn't help track spread.

                                          As far as people dying due to quarantine, that's an ridiculous question because that would never show up as a cause of death.  And how does someone die from quarantine?  Lack of self care?  Lack of food/water?  Suicide?  Other than suicide people aren't going to allow themselves to starve/dehydrate to the point of death.  They'll break quarantine to survive.  And if they were in such dire straights then quarantine or not they were on the extreme end of a spectrum.

                                          I'm not saying we need to sit and print more money, that doesn't help the country long term.  I'm not saying we need to quarantine longer.  I understand the ramifications this has on small business better than most based on my interactions with 10-20 small businesses a day albeit in one sector.  I am saying that i'd like you to provide a better argument for your reasoning as opposed to citing data that's completely irrelevant to the issue.  I have a lot of respect for your opinion and enjoy hearing your perspective.

                                          2011 e90 M3 - DCT, Borla exhaust, BMW Performance Black Grille, ECS Painted Corners, Ziza Angel Eyes

                                          07 335i Stella - sport package, BMS DCI, zhp knob, TMS cf parking brake lever, VRSF downpipes, MHD tune, H&R race springs, other stuff *SOLD*

                                          97 328i Lola - sport package, m50 intake manifold, m50 manifold.com install kit, custom CAI, K&N filter, Borla exhaust, FK silverline coilovers, 25.5mm front sway bar, Powerflex front sway bushings, Turner Radiator, fan delete *sold*
                                          95 325is *sold*
                                          93 nissan 240sx KA-T *sold*

                                          BMWCCA #473306

                                          Instagram @patsbimmer1

                                          AKA- HALLWAY PAT

                                          "burnouts bring babes and babes dont have time for bushings" - Kaiser Rolls

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